South Africa’s Bafana Bafana face their fiercest Group C rivals, Nigeria, in a crucial CAF World Cup qualifier at Toyota Stadium on Tuesday. Top spot in the group is on the line, and with it, automatic qualification for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Current Standings
- South Africa: 16 points from 7 matches (top of Group C)
- Benin: 11 points (2nd place)
- Nigeria: 10 points (3rd place)
While Bafana hold the advantage, the spectre of a potential three-point FIFA deduction for fielding Teboho Mokoena while suspended earlier this year creates an added layer of risk.
Form Guide
- South Africa: Coming off a convincing 3-0 win over Lesotho, showcasing attacking strength down the left through Aubrey Modiba. Hugo Broos’ men are unbeaten in their last 16 competitive fixtures.
- Nigeria: Edged Rwanda 1-0 in Uyo thanks to substitute Tolu Arokodare. However, the injury to Victor Osimhen is a major blow, with the striker expected to miss the clash in Bloemfontein.
Head-to-Head
- Three of the last four meetings between South Africa and Nigeria have ended 1-1.
- Nigeria knocked Bafana out of the 2023 AFCON semi-finals on penalties after another 1-1 draw.
- The only recent exception was a 2-1 win for Nigeria at AFCON 2019, sealed by a late William Troost-Ekong goal.
Betting Angles
South Africa Double Chance (Win or Draw)
Bafana are unbeaten under Hugo Broos in 16 matches. With home advantage in Bloemfontein and Nigeria missing Osimhen, the value lies in backing the hosts not to lose.
Under 2.5 Goals
Four of the last five meetings between these sides have seen two goals or fewer. Both managers know what’s at stake, and caution should dominate proceedings.
Correct Score: 1-1 Draw
Given the historical trend and the stakes, another 1-1 looks highly possible. It has been the most common outcome in recent encounters and offers decent value.