Newcastle’s recent form in this matchup has been poor, especially away as they have lost many of their Premier League meetings with Manchester City. Each time these sides meet, Newcastle tend to struggle with City’s pace and movement which often exposes gaps in their defensive structure. That pattern has continued into this season.
From a form perspective the home side is struggling to find consistency in attack. They have scored only 11 league goals which places them near the bottom in terms of offensive output. Newcastle can be lively in spells but their final ball and finishing have not been sharp enough to trouble stronger sides. When they do create chances they rarely turn them into goals which puts pressure on every other aspect of their play.
Manchester City on the other hand remain one of the most dangerous teams going forward. Their attacking numbers show a steady flow of chances created and they rarely go through long periods without threatening. Even when they rotate players their system keeps them fluid and difficult to defend against.
On the mental front Newcastle’s trend is worrying because they have lost multiple games this season even when scoring first. That points to issues with concentration and composure. When the momentum shifts they have struggled to reset and City are one of the worst opponents to face if that happens.
City will also be motivated. Erling Haaland is chasing his 100th Premier League goal and milestones like that can give a striker an extra spark. If he gets early service he will be difficult to stop.
With Newcastle dealing with injuries and a lack of form in key areas this becomes a challenging night for them.
Prediction
Manchester City to win with over 2.5 goals.
Value Bet
Man City to win + Under 3.5 goals.