Arsenal come into this one with a strong sense of confidence. Their recent league performances have been solid and they look well balanced across midfield and attack. When they move the ball quickly they can open up almost any defence and that rhythm will be important here.
Tottenham approach the match with plenty of ambition but also some questions. Their attack has shown flashes of quality yet their defensive shape has not always held up under pressure. Spurs can be dangerous when they break at pace but they sometimes leave too much space behind their midfield. Against a side like Arsenal that can be a problem. Arsenal’s front line enjoys drifting into those pockets which often forces mistakes.
In derby games form can sometimes be misleading but this matchup still feels like it suits Arsenal. Their control in midfield should give them an edge and if they dictate the early tempo they can push Spurs deep. Tottenham will rely on quick transitions and set pieces to make an impact. They have the players to hurt Arsenal but they will need to be clinical because long spells without the ball are likely.
One factor to watch is the emotional side of the game. Spurs have dropped points this season after losing focus in key moments. Arsenal by contrast have shown improvement in closing out tight matches. That difference in composure could prove vital. The energy of the derby may push both teams forward yet Arsenal seem more equipped to stay measured when it matters.
Spurs will have their moments. They always find a way to create one or two big chances in this fixture. The issue is whether they can keep Arsenal from building pressure over ninety minutes. The signs suggest they may struggle to do that.
Prediction
Arsenal to win with over 2.5 goals at 11/10.
Value Bet
Both teams to score with Arsenal to win or draw at 5/4. This keeps the door open for a lively derby while backing the stronger overall side.