For all the fight and energy Burnley continue to show, their return to the Premier League has been a difficult one. Consistency has been hard to keep, and their home form has been a concern as they occupy the 17th place in the league standings.
Turf Moor hasn’t had its usual intimidating edge this season for the visiting teams. Defensive lapses have repeatedly cost the Tykes in key moments, and against stronger sides, they’ve struggled to keep games under control.
Chelsea arrives here in a far better form, as they current third on the log and looking settled and consistent than they have in recent seasons. Their structure, both with and without the ball, has improved obviously, and their attacking patterns finally appear to have some clarity and as they also show confidence.
The Blues away form has also been one of their standout qualities this campaign. Chelsea previously looked vulnerable on the road, they now look organised, patient, and capable of dictating matches when needed.
The match seems to favour Chelsea to win though likely not a high-scoring one. Burnley often struggle to create chances against top-half opposition, and when they do break forward, they rarely convert at a high enough rate to punish teams like Chelsea.
The London side will be cautious of the home side, but if they maintain their current discipline, they should be able to manage possession, and limit Burnley to be able to play.
It’s a tight affair but rest assured win for Chelsea feels the most realistic outcome. The hosts may show flashes of their fighting spirit, unless they significantly raise their defensive standards, the visitors’ quality and structure should guide them to getting maximum points away from home.
Prediction:
Chelsea are the stronger of the two teams, there’s no doubt about it. Back them to win at 5/10.
Value Bet:
Get on the matchbet totals market and take Chelsea and over 2.5 goals at 13/10.